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#prediction markets

Total 26 articles

He Planned the Op. Then He Bet on It.
TechEN
He Planned the Op. Then He Bet on It.

A US special forces soldier involved in the operation that captured Venezuela's Maduro allegedly used classified intel to bet on Polymarket, pocketing over $400,000. The case exposes a gaping hole in how prediction markets are regulated.

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DH
Doyun Han
Rivals Kalshi and Polymarket Just Backed the Same VC Fund
TechEN
Rivals Kalshi and Polymarket Just Backed the Same VC Fund

Despite fierce competition, the CEOs of Polymarket and Kalshi have co-invested in 5(c) Capital, a $35M VC fund targeting prediction market infrastructure. What this signals for the industry.

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DH
Doyun Han
Kalshi Bet on Growth. Its Users Bet on Death. Now There's a Lawsuit.
TechEN
Kalshi Bet on Growth. Its Users Bet on Death. Now There's a Lawsuit.

A class action lawsuit accuses Kalshi of changing payout rules after Iran's Supreme Leader Khamenei was killed. The case cuts to the heart of prediction market credibility.

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DH
Doyun Han
PRISM

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The $40 Billion Bet on Who's Right
EconomyEN
The $40 Billion Bet on Who's Right

Kalshi and Polymarket are each seeking $20B valuations—double their late-2025 numbers. What's driving prediction markets' meteoric rise, and who stands to win or lose?

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SP
Seoyeon Park
Your Teen's 'Smart Investment' Might Actually Be Gambling
EconomyEN
Your Teen's 'Smart Investment' Might Actually Be Gambling

Prediction markets are luring teenagers into gambling disguised as informed trading. Parents need to recognize the warning signs before financial and mental damage sets in.

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SP
Seoyeon Park
When War Becomes a Bet: The Dark Side of Prediction Markets
EconomyEN
When War Becomes a Bet: The Dark Side of Prediction Markets

Prediction markets turn conflicts into profit opportunities, sparking bipartisan backlash over potential insider trading on classified information

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SP
Seoyeon Park
The Democratization of Insider Trading
CultureEN
The Democratization of Insider Trading

From Trump's speech length to Iranian airstrikes, prediction markets are creating a world where exclusive information becomes profit. Despite claiming to seek truth, they're eroding the very trust they promise to restore.

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MC
Minho Choi
PRISM

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Prediction Markets Are Eating the News
TechEN
Prediction Markets Are Eating the News

As Polymarket and Kalshi expand news partnerships, insider trading concerns mount. The line between gambling and information is blurring dangerously.

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DH
Doyun Han
When $54 Million in Bets Vanished Overnight
TechEN
When $54 Million in Bets Vanished Overnight

A massive dispute over Iran's supreme leader prediction market exposes the dark side of betting on world events. How Kalshi's rule interpretation sparked trader revolt.

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DH
Doyun Han
When War Becomes a Betting Market: $529M and Moral Questions
TechEN
When War Becomes a Betting Market: $529M and Moral Questions

Iran bombing predictions drew $529M in bets, raising insider trading concerns. Exploring the ethical dilemmas of prediction markets in conflict zones.

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DH
Doyun Han
Someone Made $1.2M Betting on War—24 Hours Before It Started
EconomyEN
Someone Made $1.2M Betting on War—24 Hours Before It Started

Polymarket's Iran conflict markets hit $529M in volume as traders bet on ceasefire dates and regime change. Six wallets netted $1.2M by correctly predicting the exact strike date.

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SP
Seoyeon Park
PRISM

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OpenAI Fires Employee for Insider Trading on Prediction Markets
TechEN
OpenAI Fires Employee for Insider Trading on Prediction Markets

OpenAI terminated an employee for using confidential information to trade on prediction markets like Polymarket. As these platforms grow, insider trading concerns multiply.

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DH
Doyun Han
PRISM

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