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#prediction-markets

Total 25 articles

When War Becomes a Bet: The Dark Side of Prediction Markets
EconomyEN
When War Becomes a Bet: The Dark Side of Prediction Markets

Prediction markets turn conflicts into profit opportunities, sparking bipartisan backlash over potential insider trading on classified information

The Democratization of Insider Trading
CultureEN
The Democratization of Insider Trading

From Trump's speech length to Iranian airstrikes, prediction markets are creating a world where exclusive information becomes profit. Despite claiming to seek truth, they're eroding the very trust they promise to restore.

Prediction Markets Are Eating the News
TechEN
Prediction Markets Are Eating the News

As Polymarket and Kalshi expand news partnerships, insider trading concerns mount. The line between gambling and information is blurring dangerously.

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The Dark Side of Betting on War: Polymarket's Iran Windfall
EconomyEN
The Dark Side of Betting on War: Polymarket's Iran Windfall

Polymarket users made massive profits betting on US attacks on Iran, raising questions about the ethics of war prediction markets and information asymmetry.

When $54 Million in Bets Vanished Overnight
TechEN
When $54 Million in Bets Vanished Overnight

A massive dispute over Iran's supreme leader prediction market exposes the dark side of betting on world events. How Kalshi's rule interpretation sparked trader revolt.

When Prediction Markets Meet Mortality: The Kalshi Dilemma
TechEN
When Prediction Markets Meet Mortality: The Kalshi Dilemma

Kalshi's controversial handling of a market on Iran's Supreme Leader reveals the ethical boundaries of prediction platforms and the limits of platform governance

When War Becomes a Betting Market: $529M and Moral Questions
TechEN
When War Becomes a Betting Market: $529M and Moral Questions

Iran bombing predictions drew $529M in bets, raising insider trading concerns. Exploring the ethical dilemmas of prediction markets in conflict zones.

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Someone Made $1.2M Betting on War—24 Hours Before It Started
EconomyEN
Someone Made $1.2M Betting on War—24 Hours Before It Started

Polymarket's Iran conflict markets hit $529M in volume as traders bet on ceasefire dates and regime change. Six wallets netted $1.2M by correctly predicting the exact strike date.

When War Becomes a Betting Market
TechEN
When War Becomes a Betting Market

Polymarket faces backlash for allowing bets on US-Iran strikes. The prediction market blurs lines between news and gambling as real conflicts unfold.

Polymarket Insiders Made $1.2M Hours Before Iran Strike
EconomyEN
Polymarket Insiders Made $1.2M Hours Before Iran Strike

Six suspicious accounts earned $1.2 million betting on U.S. strikes against Iran just hours before they happened. The trades raise serious questions about prediction market integrity.

OpenAI Fires Employee Over $16K Prediction Market Profits
TechEN
OpenAI Fires Employee Over $16K Prediction Market Profits

OpenAI terminated an employee for using confidential information in prediction markets. Analysis reveals 77 suspicious trades around AI events, exposing widespread insider trading concerns.

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The $200K Alien Bet That Has Everyone Asking: Insider or Lunatic?
CultureEN
The $200K Alien Bet That Has Everyone Asking: Insider or Lunatic?

Someone just wagered nearly $200,000 on Trump confirming alien existence by year-end. Was it wild speculation or someone with inside knowledge?

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