US Inflation 4% Forecast 2026: Why Your Wallet is at Risk Again

Your purchasing power is facing a new threat. Just as markets were pricing in a soft landing, a new analysis suggests US inflation could surge past the 4% mark this year, catching investors off guard.

Deep Dive into the US Inflation 4% Forecast

Adam Posen of the Peterson Institute and Peter R. Orszag of Lazard released a joint analysis indicating that underlying economic pressures remain stubborn. According to Reuters, the experts point to tight labor markets and rising deglobalization costs as the primary drivers that could push CPI figures well above the 4% threshold in 2026.

Bitcoin and Macro Assets in a High-Inflation Era

The prospect of higher inflation complicates the Federal Reserve's path toward rate cuts. While traditional equities might struggle under prolonged high rates, Bitcoin remains a wildcard. Some investors view it as digital gold and an inflation hedge, while others fear that the resulting liquidity squeeze could dampen speculative demand across the crypto sector.