Americans Are Ghosting Bitcoin for 40 Straight Days

The Rally Nobody Wanted

Bitcoin's 15% bounce from its February 5th low looks impressive on paper. The price climbed back above $62,000, suggesting the worst might be over. But there's a problem with this recovery story: Americans aren't buying it.

The Coinbase Bitcoin Premium Index has been negative for 40 consecutive days—the longest streak since 2023. This isn't just a statistical curiosity. It's telling us that while bitcoin's price recovered, the composition of demand fundamentally shifted.

When Numbers Tell Different Stories

The premium index measures how much more (or less) Americans pay for bitcoin compared to the global average. Coinbase serves as the primary gateway for US institutional and retail flows, making it a reliable proxy for American appetite.

A negative premium means US investors are consistently paying less than everyone else—either because they're selling more aggressively or simply not showing up to buy. For 40 straight days, it's been the latter.

The previous record was about 30 days during October 2025's drawdown. Back then, when bitcoin bounced, American buyers returned and the premium flipped positive. This time, the bounce came without them.

The Google Search That Says Everything

Here's where it gets interesting: Google searches for "bitcoin zero" in the US hit record highs this month, even as global search interest remained flat. Americans specifically are losing faith at a pace that hasn't shown up elsewhere.

The premium has improved from -0.22% in early February to -0.0467% today, but it's still negative. Historically, sustained bull markets don't begin until this metric turns positive—a threshold that marks genuine accumulation rather than short-covering rallies.

Follow the Money Trail

So who drove bitcoin back above $62,000? The answer lies outside US trading hours and venues. Asian markets, European exchanges, or offshore institutional flows likely provided the buying power that Coinbase's order books couldn't muster.

This represents a structural shift in bitcoin's demand dynamics. The US once served as crypto's primary engine, but global appetite might now matter more than American sentiment.

The 40-day streak suggests this isn't temporary profit-taking but a structural absence of US demand. Whether that changes could determine if bitcoin's recovery has legs—or if it's just another relief rally in a longer decline.