Trump Cuba Policy 2026 and China's Response: The Post-Maduro Geopolitics
As the Trump administration turns its focus to Cuba following the fall of Maduro, China's cautious response highlights the changing geopolitical landscape of 2026.
"Cuba looks like it’s ready to fall." President Donald Trump’s blunt assessment has sent shockwaves across the Caribbean. Following the abduction of former Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro, the White House is pivotting its gaze toward Havana, the Western Hemisphere's final Communist outpost.
Geopolitical Stakes of Trump Cuba Policy 2026
According to the SCMP, Washington is ramping up threats as it moves to consolidate control over regional energy supplies. Trump told The New York Times he expects the US to be running Venezuela and its massive oil reserves for years. This shift directly threatens Cuba, which relies heavily on subsidized oil—a lifeline that's now being strangled.
China's Strategic Hesitation
Despite their ideological ties, China is expected to remain cautious about confronting the US so close to American shores. Jiang Shixue from Shanghai University notes that any US action wouldn't necessarily be military; instead, severe sanctions could deteriorate Cuba’s already fragile economy. The island, located just 145km from Florida, has faced a blockade since the early 1960s, but the current pressure marks a 2026 tipping point.
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