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EconomyAI Analysis

German Car Industry Suez Canal Return: Skepticism Lingers Amid Risks

2 min readSource

The German car industry remains cautious about returning to the Suez Canal route. VDA highlights ongoing risks and supply chain impacts for 2026.

The Suez shortcut is tempting, but German carmakers aren't biting just yet. According to Reuters, the German Association of the Automotive Industry (VDA) stated on January 17, 2026, that major questions remain before a full return to the Suez Canal route is viable. Safety concerns and logistical volatility continue to overshadow the potential time savings.

German Car Industry Suez Canal Return: Why the Wait?

Since late 2023, giants like Volkswagen and BMW have been forced to reroute ships around the Cape of Good Hope. This detour adds roughly 10 to 14 days to transit times and increases fuel costs significantly. Despite recent de-escalation efforts, the industry remains wary of the high insurance premiums and the potential for sudden maritime disruptions in the Red Sea.

Timeline of Trade Disruption

Initial Suez Canal diversions began due to regional security threats.
Widespread adoption of the Cape of Good Hope route; surge in container rates.
VDA expresses continued caution despite calls for route restoration.

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