降息預期助燃！標普500指數盤中觸及歷史新高
在聯準會（Fed）降息預期的推動下，美國標普500指數盤中創下歷史新高。本文深入分析市場樂觀情緒背後的驅動力，並警示投資人應注意的潛在風險。
您的投資組合是否迎來了聖誕大禮？根據路透社報導，在市場對聯邦準備理事會（Fed）將於2026年降息的強烈預期推動下，美國標普500指數於2025年12月24日盤中勢如破竹，一舉刷新歷史最高紀錄，為市場點燃了年底的樂觀情緒。
降息預期成主要推手
此輪漲勢的核心驅動力，來自於投資人普遍預期聯準會將很快從緊縮貨幣政策轉向寬鬆。近期的經濟數據顯示通膨壓力正在緩解，這增強了市場對於降息即將到來的信心。較低的利率通常會降低企業的融資成本，並提高股票相對於債券等其他資產的吸引力，對股市構成利多。
投資人應注意的潛在風險
儘管市場洋溢著「聖誕行情」的喜悅，但這波漲勢完全建立在對未來的預期之上。投資人必須警惕，如果未來的通膨數據意外反彈，或聯準會的降息步伐不如市場預期的那樣迅速，當前的樂觀情緒可能迅速逆轉，導致市場出現劇烈回檔。
市場已提前反應降息利多，若聯準會的實際政策路徑與預期不符，市場可能出現劇烈回檔。投資人應避免過度追高，保持警惕。
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