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Pakistan Declares 'Open War' on Afghanistan After 300 Deaths
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Pakistan Declares 'Open War' on Afghanistan After 300 Deaths

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Pakistan claims over 300 Afghan forces killed in cross-border strikes as tensions escalate to 'open war.' Analysis of the escalating conflict and its regional implications.

When Pakistan's Defense Minister Khawaja Mohammad Asif declared on Friday that "our patience has now run out" and proclaimed "open war" with Afghanistan, he wasn't just escalating rhetoric—he was acknowledging a grim reality that had been building for days along one of the world's most volatile borders.

The trigger came Thursday night when Afghan forces launched cross-border attacks in response to Pakistani airstrikes inside Afghanistan from the previous Sunday. What started as targeted operations has now exploded into what both sides are calling the most serious military confrontation since the Taliban returned to power in Kabul.

The Deadly Mathematics of War

Pakistan's Information Minister Attaullah Tarar painted a devastating picture on Saturday: 331 Afghan forces killed, over 500 wounded, 102 Afghan military posts destroyed, 22 others captured, and 163 tanks and armored vehicles eliminated across 37 locations. These aren't just numbers—they represent the most significant military losses Afghanistan has suffered in cross-border fighting in recent memory.

Afghanistan hit back with its own claims of success. The Afghan Defense Ministry said its forces had struck Pakistani military bases in Miranshah and Spin Wam overnight, destroying installations and causing "heavy casualties." Afghan government spokesman Zabiullah Mujahid framed it as sending "a message that our hands can reach their throats."

Neither side's casualty claims could be independently verified, and Afghanistan has dismissed Pakistani figures as "false." But the scale of destruction being claimed suggests this conflict has moved far beyond border skirmishes.

The Taliban Complication

At the heart of this escalation lies a complex web involving two different Taliban groups. Pakistan says it was targeting the Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), a separate but closely allied organization to Afghanistan's ruling Afghan Taliban. Pakistan has long accused Kabul of sheltering the TTP, which has carried out numerous attacks inside Pakistan.

Afghanistan, however, maintains that only civilians were killed in Pakistan's initial Sunday airstrikes—a claim that highlights the fundamental disagreement over who was actually being targeted. Pakistani army spokesman Lt. Gen. Ahmed Sharif Chaudhry put it bluntly: the Afghan government has "only one choice: either choose TTP or Pakistan."

This ultimatum reveals the impossible position Afghanistan finds itself in. The Afghan Taliban government, already internationally isolated and struggling for legitimacy, cannot easily abandon groups it considers ideological allies without appearing weak to its own hardline base.

International Firefighting

The speed with which regional powers have mobilized to contain this crisis speaks to its potential for wider destabilization. Qatar, Turkey, Saudi Arabia, and China are all offering mediation—the same countries that helped broker a ceasefire after similar clashes in October 2025.

Qatar's Minister of State Mohammed bin Abdulaziz Al-Khulaifi was already working the phones Friday, speaking with both countries' foreign ministers. The fact that multiple rounds of peace talks in Turkey last November failed to produce lasting agreements suggests the underlying issues run deeper than any quick diplomatic fix can address.

The Human Cost of Geopolitics

While politicians declare wars, it's ordinary people who pay the price. Hundreds of residents near the Torkham border crossing have fled their homes, and Afghan refugees waiting to return home are now trapped by the fighting. Ejaz Ul Haq, stranded with his family near Torkham, captured the human reality: "I cannot return to Afghanistan because of the fighting."

The timing couldn't be worse—this escalation is happening during Ramadan, when many are already struggling to obtain food for breaking their daily fasts. Pakistan has had to transport dozens of Afghan refugees to safety, highlighting how border conflicts inevitably become humanitarian crises.


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