川普獻策終結俄烏?顧問擬和平計畫:凍結前線換停火,軍援掛鉤談判
美國前總統川普的顧問提出烏克蘭和平計畫,核心內容為依現有戰線停火,並以美國軍援作為籌碼,要求基輔展開談判。該計畫同時向俄羅斯承諾推遲烏克蘭加入北約。本文深入分析計畫細節與各方反應。
據路透社報導,美國前總統川普的兩名核心顧問已擬定一份旨在結束烏克蘭戰爭的和平計畫,並已向川普本人簡報。該計畫的核心策略是,若烏克蘭不參與和平談判,美國將停止軍事援助,以此作為迫使基輔坐上談判桌的關鍵籌碼。
該計畫由曾在川普任內擔任國家安全會議幕僚長的退役陸軍中將凱洛格(Keith Kellogg)與佛萊茨(Fred Fleitz)共同撰寫。凱洛格表示,川普對此計畫反應正面。計畫的關鍵在於,敦促雙方在當前戰線的基礎上實現停火,並立即展開和平談判。
計畫綱要:胡蘿蔔與棍棒並用 * 對烏克蘭:將美國軍事援助與其是否參與談判直接掛鉤。若拒絕談判,援助將告終結。 * 對俄羅斯:作為促使其談判的誘因,美方將承諾長期推遲烏克蘭加入北約的進程。
凱洛格明確指出:「我們告訴烏克蘭人,他們必須坐上談判桌,否則美國的支持將會枯竭。」他認為這將為雙方提供強烈的談判動機。佛萊茨補充說,根據該計畫,烏克蘭無需正式將領土割讓給俄羅斯,但他也坦言,短期內烏克蘭收復所有失土的可能性微乎其微。
此一方案預計將在國內外引發巨大爭議。歐洲盟友與共和黨內部的鷹派人士料將提出強烈批評。現任拜登政府的白宮國家安全會議發言人則重申,拜登政府的立場是任何有關烏克蘭的和平談判皆須由烏克蘭主導,不會強迫其在領土上做出讓步。
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