戰火中的投票所：緬甸軍政府強行大選，半壁江山仍未掌控
緬甸軍政府在2021年政變後強行舉行首次大選。然而，由於內戰持續，其控制的領土不及一半，選舉的合法性備受質疑，恐將加劇國內衝突。
一場槍桿下的「選舉」，能換來統治的正當性嗎？緬甸軍政府宣布，將於本週日（12月28日）舉行初步階段的大選。這是自2021年2月發動政變奪權以來首次舉辦的全國性選舉，然而，在內戰持續、全國僅約半數領土受其控制的情況下，此舉引發巨大爭議。
粉飾太平的政治盤算
根據日經亞洲報導，軍方支持的聯邦鞏固與發展黨（USDP）支持者已在首都奈比多展開競選活動，試圖營造選舉順利進行的表象。但現實是，軍政府與民主派和少數民族武裝部隊的衝突遍及全國。外界普遍認為，軍政府的有效控制範圍僅及全國領土的50%左右，許多地區根本不具備投票的客觀條件。
合法性蕩然無存 國際社會冷眼旁觀
分析人士指出，這場選舉是軍政府為其統治披上合法外衣、尋求國際承認的政治表演。在翁山蘇姬領導的全國民主聯盟（NLD）大量核心人物仍遭監禁或起訴的情況下，所謂的自由公正選舉無從談起。多數西方國家預料將不會承認選舉結果。外界擔憂，這場選舉非但無法解決緬甸的政治僵局，反而可能使其在國際上更加孤立。
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