日本央行維持負利率,日圓應聲重貶破152,日經指數收高
日本央行決議維持-0.1%的基準利率不變,行長植田和男指薪資增長不足。日圓兌美元應聲跌破152.50,創逾一年新低,而日經225指數則收高1.2%。
日本銀行()在結束了年度最後一次貨幣政策會議,決議維持超寬鬆貨幣政策不變。此舉符合市場預期,但立即引發日圓兌美元匯率急貶,一度跌破價位,創逾一年新低;同時,東京股市則受此激勵上揚。
政策按兵不動,行長稱薪資增長不足
根據路透社報導,宣布,將短期利率目標維持在,10年期政府公債殖利率目標也維持在。央行行長在會後記者會上表示,雖然通膨有回溫跡象,但「尚未伴隨足夠的薪資增長」。他強調,為了穩定且可持續地實現的通膨目標,有必要「耐心地持續推行貨幣寬鬆政策」。
利差擴大,市場反應兩極
相較於過去一年多為對抗通膨而激進升息的美國聯準會()與歐洲央行(),的鴿派立場形成鮮明對比。持續擴大的日美利差是推動日圓走弱的主要動力,消息公布後,日圓匯率跌幅超過。
日圓疲軟對出口導向型企業構成利多,因此受到提振,終場收漲。然而,弱勢日圓也加劇了能源與食品的進口成本壓力,對家庭支出造成負擔。對此,日本財務省官員表示,正「以高度緊迫感關注匯率動向」,且不排除干預的可能性。
在全球主要央行緊縮週期步入尾聲之際,日本央行仍堅守寬鬆,政策分歧格局短期難改。這意味著日圓的弱勢結構可能成為一種新常態,對投資者而言,放空日圓仍是主流策略之一,但需警惕日本當局隨時可能進場干預的風險。
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