烏克蘭戰爭恐再持續18個月，專家預警全球將面臨長期消耗戰
專家分析指出，烏克蘭戰爭可能還會持續12至18個月。由於戰線僵持與政治解決方案遙遙無期，國際社會正被迫為一場長期的全球性消耗戰預做準備。
烏克蘭的戰火，恐怕還要再延燒12到18個月。在一份最新的分析中，專家對戰爭前景提出了嚴峻警告。這意味著從現在（2025年底）來看，戰事可能持續到2027年中葉，國際社會必須為這場曠日持久的消耗戰做好準備。
戰線僵持與政治僵局
專家預測戰爭長期化的主要原因，在於戰場前線的膠著狀態。俄羅斯與烏克兰雙方都無法取得決定性勝利，戰線陷入寸土必爭的泥淖。儘管西方國家對烏克蘭的軍事援助未曾間斷，但尚不足以扭轉乾坤。另一方面，俄羅斯在經濟制裁下仍維持著其戰爭經濟體系，分析認為其短期內並無停戰跡象。
對國際秩序的深遠影響
戰爭的長期化，其影響絕不僅限於兩國之間，而是舉足輕重。從能源價格的動盪、全球糧食安全的威脅，到歐洲安全架構的重塑，影響遍及全球。各國正被迫重新評估其外交與國防戰略，以應對這場「不會結束的戰爭」。有分析指出，烏克蘭正試圖透過狙殺俄羅斯將領來「製造恐懼」，顯示衝突的心理戰層面也日益加劇。
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