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Trade Defiance: India Exports to US Dip Just 1% Despite 50% Trump Tariffs

2 min readSource

India's exports to the US dropped just 0.97% despite 4 months of 50% Trump tariffs. Resilience in electronics and frontloading strategies have kept the 7.4% growth target alive.

A 50% tariff wall hasn't stopped India's trade momentum. Four months into the aggressive Trump administration tariff regime, the South Asian nation's exports to its largest destination have fallen by a mere 0.97%, proving that the trade relationship is more resilient than many analysts expected.

India Exports US Trump Tariffs 2026: Why the Numbers Held Up

According to Reuters, data released by India's commerce ministry on Thursday highlights a surprising trend. Despite facing the steepest tariffs in Asia, Indian goods continue to flood the U.S. market. Economists attribute this to a combination of frontloading—where companies ship goods early to beat further restrictions—a surge in high-value electronics exports, and steady demand for products that remain outside the tariff net.

Optimism Amidst Pressure: 7.4% Growth Expected

The Indian government remains bullish, forecasting an economic growth rate of 7.4% for the 2025-26 fiscal year. This defiance comes even as the U.S. Supreme Court prepares further rulings on tariff legality. India's strategy appears to be one of cautious adaptation, leveraging its growing AI-skilled workforce and deepening trade pacts with other regions to offset potential American losses.

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