Breaking the Cycle: China December 2025 Manufacturing PMI Hits 50.1
China's manufacturing PMI rose to 50.1 in December 2025, ending an eight-month contraction. Discover the drivers behind this surprise rebound and what it means for global investors.
China's factories are finally humming again. After eight straight months of shrinking, manufacturing activity unexpectedly broke back into expansion territory this December, signaling a potential turning point for the world's second-largest economy.
Drivers Behind the China December 2025 Manufacturing PMI 50.1 Rebound
According to the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS), the manufacturing purchasing managers' index (PMI) climbed to 50.1 in December. This figure comfortably beat market expectations of 49.6 and is a significant step up from November's 49.2. The 50-point mark is the critical threshold separating growth from contraction.
| Metric | November | December | Status |
|---|---|---|---|
| Manufacturing PMI | 49.2 | 50.1 | Expansion |
Huo Lihui, chief statistician at the NBS, noted that both production and demand saw a significant rebound. Holiday-related stockpiling particularly boosted sectors like food and beverage. However, analysts warn that it's too early to declare a permanent victory, as one month of expansion doesn't guarantee a long-term recovery trend.
Investment Risk: External headwinds and domestic property market struggles remain significant threats to China's industrial stability.
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