資金湧入12.5億美元，XRP價格為何仍在1.9美元關前徘徊？
XRP現貨ETF資產淨值突破12.5億美元，但價格受限於1.90美元強大賣壓，於1.85至1.91美元區間盤整。本文深入分析背後的多空博弈與決定未來走向的關鍵技術水位。
機構資金正在悄悄買入，市場價格卻為何紋風不動？儘管瑞波幣（XRP）現貨ETF（指數股票型基金）的淨資產已突破12.5億美元大關，但其價格仍在1.86美元附近盤整。根據CoinDesk的數據，這種價格與資金流向的脫鉤現象，正反映出長期機構投資者與短期市場賣壓之間的一場激烈博弈。
機構的耐心佈局 vs 市場的短線賣壓
數據顯示，機構投資人正持續透過受監管的ETF管道增加對XRP的曝險。近期交易日中，又有819萬美元的資金流入，將ETF持有的總淨資產推升至12.5億美元。這表明專業投資者偏好使用結構性產品來建立長期部位，而非追逐現貨市場的短期動能。
然而，現貨市場呈現出截然不同的景象。XRP價格被牢牢鎖在1.85至1.91美元的狹窄區間內。尤其在1.90美元附近，賣方多次成功防守，形成一道堅實的阻力牆。在價格觸及該水平被拒絕時，成交量急劇放大，比平均水平高出約76%，這意味著市場上方存在著真實且強大的賣盤壓力。
技術分析：多空對決的關鍵水位
目前多空雙方短兵相接，價格區間不斷收緊，形成技術分析中所謂的「收縮盤整」，預示著一次決定性的突破即將到來。投資人應密切關注以下兩個關鍵劇本：
- 看漲劇本： 若價格能守住1.87美元支撐，並成功站上1.90至1.91美元的阻力叢集區，則可能引發空頭回補，將價格推向1.95至2.00美元的目標。
- 看跌劇本： 相反地，若1.86美元的支撐失守，市場可能會進一步下滑，測試下一個歷史需求區間，約在1.77至1.80美元之間。
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