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Vietnam 2025 Economic Growth Hits 8.02% as Exports Defy US Tariffs

2 min readSource

Vietnam's economy grew by 8.02% in 2025, defying record trade surpluses and high US tariffs. Exports to the US surged 28%, cementing its role in global supply chains.

Vietnam's economy is running at full throttle. According to data from the General Statistics Office (GSO), the nation's GDP expanded by 8.02% in 2025, marking the second-highest growth rate in 15 years. This robust performance follows a strong 7.09% showing in 2024, proving the Southeast Asian manufacturing hub's resilience amidst global trade tensions.

Vietnam 2025 Economic Growth Defies 20% US Import Tariffs

The most striking aspect of this growth is the surge in exports to the United States. Despite the Trump administration imposing a 20% tariff—scaled back from an initial 46% threat in April 2025—Vietnamese exports to the US jumped 28% to $153.2 billion. This pushed the trade surplus to a record-breaking $134 billion for the year.

This paradox is explained by Vietnam's critical role in the China-US supply chain. As multinational firms diversify away from Beijing, many have established factories in northern Vietnam to stay connected to China-centered suppliers. Consequently, while exports to the US soared, imports of Chinese components also hit a record $186 billion in 2025, up from $144.2 billion the previous year.

CPV Targets 10% Annual Growth and Middle-Income Status

Looking ahead, the ruling Communist Party of Vietnam (CPV) is setting even more ambitious targets for the 2026-2030 period. Ahead of the 14th National Congress, party documents reveal a goal of at least 10% annual GDP growth. The government also aims to nearly double the GDP per capita from $4,700 in 2025 to $8,500 by 2030.

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