Venezuela Bitcoin Stash 2026: Why the $60 Billion Claim is Unlikely

Don’t hold your breath for a $60 billion Venezuelan Bitcoin windfall. While rumors of a massive secret state reserve swirl, insiders argue the Nicolas Maduro regime is simply too corrupt and incompetent to manage such a feat. Mauricio Di Bartolomeo, co-founder of Ledn, claims that the narrative of a sovereign crypto treasury lacks any credible on-chain evidence.

The Math Behind the Venezuela Bitcoin Stash 2026 Rumors

The speculation stems from three alleged sources: a 2018 gold sale converted to crypto, oil revenues paid in Bitcoin, and seized mining equipment. However, the numbers don't add up. For instance, Alex Saab, the regime's alleged financial mastermind, was in U.S. custody from 2020 to 2023. At his release, rumors suggested he controlled up to $20 billion in BTC—double the $9.9 billion held in Venezuela's official Central Bank reserves at the time.

Corruption as a Barrier to National Wealth

History suggests that even if the regime generated Bitcoin profits, they wouldn't reach the national treasury. In March 2023, a scandal involving the crypto regulator SUNACRIP revealed that officials siphoned off $17.6 billion through irregular oil sales via PDVSA. In an environment of extreme corruption, wealth tends to disappear into private pockets rather than being held as a sovereign reserve.

• Infrastructure Decay: Chronic energy shortages and daily 4-hour blackouts make large-scale, state-run mining operations unsustainable.
• Operational Failure: PDVSA's production collapsed from 3.5 million to 800,000 barrels per day, signaling a broader inability to manage complex industries.
• Zero Transparency: No public blockchain records link any major Bitcoin wallets to the Venezuelan state.