Trump vs China Tech Gap 2026: Why the US is Falling Behind Beijing's 'Electro-State'
Eurasia Group's 2026 forecast identifies Donald Trump as the top global risk. While the US faces political upheaval, China is solidifying its position as an 'electro-state' with 90% dominance in key tech materials.
The world's most powerful country is busy unwinding its own global order. Eurasia Group warned on Monday that Donald Trump is the No. 1 risk to global stability in 2026. As the US grapples with internal political revolution, China is seizing the lead in the technologies that will define the next decade, from battery storage to commercial drones.
Trump vs China Tech Gap 2026: The Manufacturing Shift
According to Eurasia Group's annual forecast, the primary threat to the world isn't an imminent military conflict between the superpowers—it's the instability of the United States itself. Ian Bremmer, the group's president, noted that Trump is focused on dismantling checks on his power and weaponizing government machinery against domestic enemies. While Washington looks inward, Beijing is tightening its grip on the global manufacturing supply chain.
The Rise of the First 'Electro-State'
China is undergoing a massive transformation, shifting from a fossil-fuel-dependent economy to the world's first electro-state. This isn't just a green transition; it's a play for total economic dominance. The SCMP reported that China's lead in critical sectors is already staggering:
| Sector | China's Global Share |
|---|---|
| Lithium-ion Batteries | 75% |
| Neodymium Magnets | 90% |
| Solar Panels & Wind Turbines | Market Leader |
| Commercial Drones | Market Leader |
Despite economic headwinds like deflation, Xi Jinping remains undeterred. In his latest address, he emphasized unstoppable growth and national reunification, signaling that China won't let up on its strategic goals while the US remains distracted by its own political drama.
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