China South China Sea Strategic Patience: Analyst Urges Long-Term Calm
Top Chinese analyst Hu Bo urges Beijing to exercise strategic patience in South China Sea and East China Sea disputes, predicting long-term tensions with Manila and Tokyo.
A long game is unfolding at sea. Beijing's top maritime analyst is calling for strategic patience as tensions with neighboring nations show no signs of receding.
China South China Sea Strategic Patience as a New Normal
Hu Bo, director of the South China Sea Strategic Situation Probing Initiative (SCSPI), argued in a recent article for the journal 'Modern Ship' that China must become accustomed to maritime disputes rather than rushing to resolve them. According to the South China Morning Post, Hu predicts that provocations from the Philippines and Japan are likely to continue indefinitely.
For China, this means recognizing the complexity and long-term nature of disputes in both seas, exercising strategic patience and becoming accustomed to the normality of maritime disputes.
Overwhelming Advantages and Regional Friction
Despite ongoing confrontations between coastguards and competition for resources, Hu advised against overreaction. He noted that Beijing holds "overwhelming advantages" and should maintain a calm mindset. This message comes as the South China Sea remains a major geopolitical flashpoint due to overlapping territorial claims.
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