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The Greenland Rift: Impact on Ukraine Security Guarantees 2026

2 min readSource

As Ukraine security talks proceed in Miami, a 2026 rift over Greenland tariffs between the US and Europe threatens to undermine Western unity and benefit Russia.

They're shaking hands in Miami, but the fists are clenched in Europe. While negotiators hammer out security guarantees for Ukraine, a brewing conflict over Greenland threatens to shatter the very alliance meant to protect it as of January 19, 2026.

Ukraine Security Guarantees and the 2026 Greenland Dispute Impact

On the ground, the war's brutality remains unchanged. Russian strikes killed at least five people across Kharkiv and Kherson on Sunday, according to regional governors. Russia's Ministry of Defence claims it downed 140 Ukrainian drones in a single day. Meanwhile, energy facilities in Chernihiv have been crippled, leaving thousands in the dark. In a rare bit of progress, IAEA chief Rafael Grossi confirmed that repairs have begun on a backup line for the Zaporizhzhia nuclear plant under a brokered ceasefire.

In Miami, Ukrainian negotiator Rustem Umerov concluded two days of intensive talks with US officials, including Jared Kushner. The discussions focused on "practical mechanisms" for implementation, with the next round of talks slated for Davos.

Transatlantic Rift Over Greenland Tariffs

The diplomatic progress is being overshadowed by a geopolitical bombshell: Donald Trump has imposed a 10 percent tariff on European nations that sent troops to defend Greenland. Kirill Dmitriev, a Kremlin envoy, didn't hide his satisfaction, declaring that "Transatlantic unity is over." European leaders aren't backing down. EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas warned that Russia and China are the primary beneficiaries of this internal strife. Spanish PM Pedro Sanchez went further, suggesting a US invasion of Greenland would "legitimize" Putin's actions in Ukraine.

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