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MicroStrategy MSCI Index Retention Sparks 6% Stock Surge

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MicroStrategy shares rose 6% after MSCI decided not to exclude digital asset treasury firms from its indexes. Analysts warn that future rule changes may still pose risks.

They dodged a bullet, but the gun is still loaded. MSCI decided not to kick digital asset treasury firms like MicroStrategy out of its indexes—for now—sending shares on a wild ride.

MicroStrategy MSCI Index Decision Calms Institutional Investors

Shares of MicroStrategy (MSTR) jumped nearly 6% in post-market trading on Tuesday, January 6, 2026. The rally followed MSCI's announcement that it won't move forward with plans to exclude companies that hold large amounts of Bitcoin on their balance sheets but don't operate in the blockchain sector.

The move eases immediate pressure on firms that treat digital assets as a core treasury component. A formal exclusion from MSCI indexes would have likely forced institutional investors to divest, drastically reducing demand for the stock and potentially triggering a massive sell-off.

Analysts Warn of a 'Stay of Execution'

Despite the positive price action, analysts remain wary. Lance Vitanza from TD Cowen noted that it's unclear whether this is a final victory or merely a "stay of execution." Vitanza maintains a buy rating with a $500 price target.

Benchmark'sMark Palmer, who holds a bullish $705 price target, called the news a "welcome reprieve." However, he echoed concerns that MSCI's ongoing consideration of non-operating companies means this episode isn't over yet.

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