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EconomyAI Analysis

2026 Japan Yen Exchange Rate Outlook: Business Chiefs Warn Against Further Depreciation

2 min readSource

Japan's business leaders warn that further yen weakness will harm the economy in 2026. Explore the 2026 Japan Yen exchange rate outlook and projections for wage hikes.

The era of the weak yen is increasingly being viewed as a burden rather than a blessing. As we enter 2026, Japan's top business leaders are sounding the alarm, stating that further currency depreciation won't benefit the nation's corporate giants due to skyrocketing import costs.

Sudden volatility in the JPY exchange rate can impact global portfolios. Investors should monitor BOJ policy shifts closely.

2026 Japan Yen Exchange Rate Outlook: The Hidden Cost of a Weak Currency

According to Nikkei, leaders of major business lobbies, including Keidanren, expressed their desire for a stronger yen in recent interviews. Figures such as Akio Yamaguchi and Ken Kobayashi highlighted that the rising cost of imported energy and raw materials is eroding the profits gained from exports.

Wage Hikes and Growth: Charting Japan's 2026 Economic Recovery

Looking ahead, these chiefs anticipate significant wage hikes to sustain domestic consumption. Following a record-breaking year for Japan stocks in 2025—driven by the AI boom and rate hike expectations—the consensus for 2026 points toward moderate but stable economic growth supported by a healthier currency balance.

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