Russia-Ukraine War Could 'Grind On for Another 12 to 18 Months,' Analysis Suggests

The year may be ending, but hopes for peace are fading once again. A sobering analysis suggests the war between Russia and Ukraine could grind on for another 12 to 18 months. This forecast indicates that the conflict is settling into a protracted war of attrition, with neither side able to secure a decisive military advantage.

A Stalemate of Attrition

After years of fighting, the frontlines have largely stagnated. According to recent commentary, the current dynamic is more likely to lead to a long-term grind than a complete collapse of either side. Both Russia and Ukraine are focused on draining their opponent's resources and will to fight through limited offensives. As part of this strategy, Ukraine has reportedly employed tactics designed 'to create fear,' such as the targeted killing of a high-ranking Russian general. It’s a move that suggests a shift towards asymmetrical strikes aimed at psychological gains rather than territorial ones.

Shifting Geopolitical Tectonics

The prolonged conflict isn't just reshaping Eastern Europe; it's altering the global geopolitical landscape. As the attention of the United States and its allies remains divided, tensions are simmering in other regions. For instance, new dynamics are emerging as the U.S. re-evaluates the strategic advantages of Venezuela's reserves. Meanwhile, the indirect consequences of the war are spreading, with humanitarian crises deepening in conflict zones like Sudan as international aid dwindles.