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EconomyAI Analysis

IndiGo's 60% India Market Share Under Fire: Monopoly Probe and Regulatory Crisis

2 min readSource

IndiGo's 60% market share in India is under scrutiny as the CCI probes allegations of monopoly abuse following mass flight cancellations and regulatory failures.

A single giant controls 60% of India's skies, and it's starting to show cracks. IndiGo, India's largest carrier, is facing a major investigation by the Competition Commission of India (CCI) following thousands of flight cancellations in early December. This isn't just an operational hiccup; it's a stark reminder of the risks involved when market power becomes too concentrated.

The Heavy Weight of IndiGo Market Share

The numbers are staggering. IndiGo holds 60% of the domestic market. Together with Air India, two players control 86% of the entire sector. Out of roughly 900 domestic routes, IndiGo is the sole operator on 514. This dominance has allowed the airline to make decisions—like charging exorbitant prices during crises—without the fear of losing customers to competitors.

If found guilty of abusing its dominant position, IndiGo could face penalties of up to 10% of its total revenue. Investors should brace for potential structural remedies that might force the carrier to relinquish certain routes.

Safety Rules and Operational Strain

The crisis was triggered by the airline's failure to adapt to the Flight Duty Time Limit (FDTL) regulations announced in early 2025. Despite having months to prepare, IndiGo delayed hiring and scheduling adjustments. When the rules finally bit, operational capacity snapped. The regulator was forced to put the rules in abeyance to prevent a total collapse of air travel.

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