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The Fading All-Weather Friendship: India-Russia Strategic Alliance 2026

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Analyzing the India-Russia strategic alliance 2026. Discover how geopolitical misalignment, Russia's decline, and India's economic rise are reshaping their decades-old bond.

They're shaking hands, but their goals are drifting apart. For decades, India and Russia shared what many called an 'all-weather friendship.' But as of January 2026, this historical bond is facing the harsh light of modern geopolitical realities.

The Shifting Sands of the India-Russia Strategic Alliance 2026

According to reports from The Diplomat, the emotional nostalgia for the Soviet Union's support during the Cold War still lingers in New Delhi. However, the mismatch in priorities is becoming undeniable. While a 2023 Pew survey showed 59% of Indians held confidence in Vladimir Putin, Russia's global influence has plummeted as its campaign in Ukraine falters.

Russia and China as traditional autocracies were natural allies against the constitutional systems espoused by the West.

Esper Ukhtomsky (19th Century Russian Aristocrat)

Today, that logic has reversed. China now acts as Russia's protector, limiting Moscow's ability to assist India in its border disputes with Beijing. This misalignment was evident during Operation Sindoor in May 2025, where Russia remained tepidly silent.

India’s Rise as a Self-Reliant Great Power

  • India's economy is now at least twice as large as Russia's.
  • New Delhi is at the forefront of AI and semiconductor trends—technologies Russia can no longer provide.
  • Strategic independence allows India to fill vacuums left by Russia in regions like Armenia.

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