IMF一道指令恐催生巴基斯坦地下金融？削減匯款獎勵引爆經濟未爆彈
國際貨幣基金組織（IMF）要求巴基斯坦削減海外匯款獎勵，專家警告此舉可能導致資金流向地下匯兌管道，衝擊該國外匯存底，引發經濟動盪的擔憂。
國際貨幣基金組織（IMF）的一項要求，正將巴基斯坦推向經濟的十字路口。IMF要求巴國政府逐步取消對海外僑匯的獎勵措施，專家警告，此舉恐將龐大的資金推向檯面下的地下匯兌管道，對國家經濟構成嚴峻挑戰，地下金融恐將死灰復燃。
IMF的緊箍咒：削減財政支出
根據路透社報導，IMF已正式要求巴基斯坦政府，應逐步縮減在海外匯款獎勵計畫上的支出。此舉被視為IMF對巴基斯坦進行財政紀律改革的一部分，旨在降低政府赤字。過去，巴基斯坦政府為鼓勵海外國民透過正規銀行管道匯款回國，提供了手續費補貼等多項獎勵。
專家示警：地下匯兌恐捲土重來
然而，經濟學家們對此舉提出嚴重關切。他們認為，一旦取消獎勵，官方金融管道的吸引力將會下降。這可能促使海外巴基斯坦人轉向使用非官方的匯款系統，例如傳統的「哈瓦拉（Hawala）」網絡。這些地下管道通常手續費更低、到帳速度更快，因此在過去佔有舉足輕重的地位。
透過地下管道的資金流動，並不會計入國家的官方外匯存底。僑匯是支撐巴基斯坦經濟、平衡國際收支的生命線，若官方收到的匯款金額大幅減少，將對巴基斯坦盧比的匯率造成沉重壓力，進而動搖整體經濟的穩定性。
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