尼泊爾的政治豪賭：爭議強人奧利三連任黨魁，無視Z世代變革呼聲
尼泊爾前總理奧利在爭議聲中三度連任CPN-UML黨魁。他因鎮壓Z世代抗議致77死而受查，此番當選不僅違背民意，更可能引發尼泊爾政局的劇烈動盪。
尼泊爾的年輕世代高喊變革，但政治鐘擺卻盪向了反方。備受爭議的前總理奧利（KP Sharma Oli），在2025年12月18日以超過對手兩倍的票數，第三度當選尼泊爾共產黨（聯合馬列）（CPN-UML）黨主席。這場看似壓倒性的勝利，卻為這個國家的未來蒙上了一層陰影。
背棄Z世代的怒火
奧利此次當選之所以引發軒然大波，是因為他正因鎮壓今年9月初的「Z世代抗議」而接受調查，該事件導致77人死亡。這場運動的核心訴求，便是要求像奧利這樣的舊時代政治人物下台，將領導權交給下一代。然而，CPN-UML的選擇，無疑是與這股民意背道而馳。奧利本人甚至多次嘲諷該運動是「外國勢力與麻煩製造者」所煽動，並拒絕對抗議中的死傷表示任何悔意。
黨內民主的侵蝕與鐵腕統治
奧利的政治生涯充滿爭議。他擔任總理期間曾兩度解散國會，其治下的貪腐問題也為人詬病。自2014年首次擔任黨主席以來，他便開始將權力高度集中，並有計畫地排擠潛在的政治對手。據稱，在這次黨代表大會上，他透過威脅利誘、甚至修改黨內規則等手段，來確保自己順利連任。當選後，他更公開對臨時政府成立的調查小組嗆聲，表示自己「寧可被槍殺，也不會出席聽證」。
尼泊爾政治的十字路口
在一個平均年齡僅26歲的國家，CPN-UML選擇擁抱一位在年輕人中極不受歡迎的領袖，恐將付出巨大的政治代價。與此同時，尼泊爾其他政治力量正在醞釀變革：最大在野黨尼泊爾大會黨即將選出新領袖，而首都加德滿都富有魅力的市長巴倫·沙阿（Balen Shah）也被視為可能崛起的新興政治力量。CPN-UML的逆流而行，不僅關係到自身存亡，也為尼泊爾的民主健康敲響了警鐘。
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