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U.S. Derivatives Markets Pivot to Digital Assets via Regulated Prediction Contracts in 2026

2 min readSource

U.S. derivatives platforms are expanding into prediction contracts for digital assets and economic data in 2026. Discover how these regulated bets are reshaping finance.

What if you could hedge your portfolio against a sudden spike in inflation or a crypto flash crash with a single 'Yes' or 'No' bet? A major U.S. derivatives platform and clearinghouse is doing just that, intensifying its focus on prediction contracts tied to digital assets and macroeconomic indicators.

The Expansion of US Derivatives Prediction Contracts Digital Assets

As of January 8, 2026, the shift toward event-based trading has reached a critical milestone. Regulated clearinghouses are now facilitating contracts that allow traders to speculate on specific price movements of tokens like Bitcoin and Ethereum. Industry reports suggest these platforms are seeing record engagement as they offer a more straightforward alternative to traditional futures and options.

Betting on the Fed and Economic Realities

Beyond the crypto sphere, the platform is doubling down on economic indicators. Traders can now enter positions based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) or Federal Reserve interest rate hikes. For instance, a contract might pay out if the Fed raises rates by 25 basis points in the next meeting. This move effectively turns abstract economic data into tradeable commodities.

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