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The $1 Trillion Mystery: Why China’s Record Trade Surplus Isn't Boosting Reserves

2 min readSource

Explore the paradox of China's record $1 trillion trade surplus versus its lagging foreign exchange reserves. Discover where the surplus is flowing and why.

Where's the money? China's trade surplus just shattered records, surpassing the US$1 trillion mark in the first 11 months of the year. Yet, the country's official foreign exchange reserves haven't budged much, creating a massive gap that's left analysts scratching their heads.

Analyzing the China Trade Surplus 1 Trillion Dollars Conundrum

According to Reuters, this paradox reflects a shift in how China manages its external accounts. While the nation is exporting more than ever, the dollars earned aren't staying in the People's Bank of China's coffers. Instead, the surplus is flowing back overseas at a lightning-fast pace.

Private-Sector Asset Investment: The Hidden Leak

Analysts suggest the discrepancy is driven by private-sector players. These entities are reportedly channeling funds into overseas asset investments rather than converting them back into local currency. This massive outflow essentially balances the books, but it leaves China's official reserves looking surprisingly thin compared to its trade dominance.

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