比特幣7萬美元支撐位恐成「紙糊防線」？CME數據揭示28天空白區
根據過去五年的CME期貨數據，比特幣在7萬至8萬美元區間的交易時間僅28天，顯示該價位的歷史支撐極為薄弱。若市場再次回調，此區間恐難以防守，投資者需留意盤整風險。
比特幣目前的高價位，是否只是空中樓閣？根據過去五年的芝加哥商品交易所（CME）期貨數據，比特幣在7萬至8萬美元的價格區間停留時間極短，這意味著該區間的歷史支撐基礎薄弱，潛藏著相當大的風險。
數據揭示的「價格真空帶」
來自Investing.com的數據顯示，比特幣在7萬至7萬9999美元的價格區間內僅交易了28個交易日，而在8萬至8萬9999美元區間也只有49天。與之形成鮮明對比的是，在3萬美元和4萬美元等較低價格區間，交易天數接近200天。價格在某個區間停留的時間越長，投資者在此建立的倉位就越多，從而形成更為堅實的支撐基礎。
Glassnode鏈上數據的雙重驗證
鏈上分析公司Glassnode的數據也印證了這一觀點。其UTXO已實現價格分佈（URPD）指標，用於顯示當前比特幣供應量最後一次移動時的價格分佈，相當於一張投資者成本地圖。該數據清楚地表明，在7萬至8萬美元之間，供應量集中度顯著不足，與期貨數據的結論不謀而合。
後市展望：盤整或成必經之路
在10月創下歷史新高後，比特幣價格急劇回調，12月大部分時間在8萬至9萬美元區間徘徊。這意味著市場已退回至一個歷史支撐相對薄弱的區域。倘若市場再次出現修正，7萬至8萬美元的區間可能成為市場需要花費更多時間進行橫盤整理、以建立更穩固支撐的關鍵地帶。
加密貨幣市場波動劇烈，價格可能出現劇烈變動。本分析基於歷史數據，並不保證未來價格表現，投資前請謹慎評估風險。
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