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Bond Market Volatility Hits 2021 Low: A Green Light for Bitcoin?

1 min readSource

Bond market volatility has dropped to its lowest since October 2021, signaling a major risk-on shift. Discover how this impact Bitcoin and global financial trends in 2026.

The bond market hasn't been this quiet in over four years. A key gauge of bond market volatility has slipped to its lowest level since October 2021, effectively rolling out the red carpet for risk-hungry investors.

Why Bond Market Volatility 2026 is at Record Lows

According to Reuters, this slump in volatility is encouraging aggressive risk-taking across global financial platforms. When fixed-income markets stabilize, the 'fear factor' dissipates, leading capital to flow toward speculative sectors that offer higher potential returns.

Bitcoin and the Risk-On Renaissance

This macroeconomic backdrop is particularly bullish for Bitcoin. As the MOVE index—which tracks treasury volatility—remains suppressed, liquidity conditions for digital assets tend to improve. Investors are increasingly viewing this stability as a window of opportunity to rotate back into risk assets.

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