How a Potential US Greenland Invasion Could Demolish AUKUS

The global security architecture's on the verge of a total meltdown, and it's starting at the top of the world. Washington's potential move on Greenland isn't just a territorial land grab; it's a direct assault on a NATO ally. Since Greenland is part of the Kingdom of Denmark, any military action there would likely trigger the collapse of the world's most powerful defense alliance.

How a US Greenland Invasion Sparks an AUKUS Collapse

Australia sits thousands of miles away, yet its security is deeply 'plugged in' to the North Atlantic. As one of only four Enhanced Opportunities Partners, Canberra has spent decades aligning its logistics and rules of engagement with NATO standards. A dismantling of NATO would leave the Australian Defence Force strategically stranded.

The real danger lies in the AUKUS project. While Australia hopes to buy threeVirginia-class submarines, the long-term plan relies on a joint effort with the UK. However, if the US forces a wedge between Europe and North America, London will likely choose Europe. Britain's exports to the EU are six times larger than its exports to the US, and imports are eight times greater.

Collapsing Trust in Washington

For Canberra, the current policy of 'muddling through' Trump's disruptive nature is reaching its limit. The Australian public increasingly views the current US leadership as an 'agent of chaos.' Without the technological transfers from the US, the AUKUS-class submarine project isn't viable, leaving Australia with a massive hole in its 2026 defense strategy.