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US Abduction of Nicolas Maduro 2026: A Dangerous Precedent for Taiwan

2 min readSource

The January 2026 abduction of Nicolas Maduro by US forces marks a shift in global politics. Analyze how Trump's Monroe Doctrine revival impacts China's strategy for Taiwan.

The US captured a foreign leader on his own soil, but the most significant fallout might happen thousands of miles away in the Taiwan Strait. Since US special forces abducted Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro last Saturday, the geopolitical landscape's shifting toward a brutal logic of "spheres of influence."

US Abduction of Nicolas Maduro 2026 and the Trump Corollary

According to ABC News and CNN, the Trump administration is demanding that Venezuela sever ties with China, Iran, Russia, and Cuba before oil production resumes. This move revives the 19th-centuryMonroe Doctrine under what analysts call the "Trump Corollary," asserting total US dominance over the Western Hemisphere.

Trump's aggressive stance doesn't stop in the Caribbean. He's also renewed claims to "acquire" Greenland to counter Russian and Chinese presence in the Arctic. Simona Grano from the University of Zurich notes that Beijing's likely to read this as a signal that the US is now comfortable with great powers exerting control within their own hemispheric spheres.

Beijing’s Calculation: Investment Loss vs. Strategic Precedent

China's response was swift, condemning the abduction as a "clear violation of international law." The stakes are high; Venezuela owes Beijing between $13bn and $15bn. Yet, the long-term strategic gain for China might outweigh these financial losses. Lev Nachman of National Taiwan University told Al Jazeera that America has created a global precedent for large powers to act against other states beyond their jurisdiction.

While Beijing isn't expected to launch immediate military action against Taiwan, Trump's actions provide a convenient justification. On platforms like Weibo, some users are already calling for similar "law enforcement actions" against pro-independence elements in what they call their "internal province of Taiwan."

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